China’s population
| China’s population, 1950-2050 | |||
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Source: United Nations, Department of Social and Economic Affairs, Population Division (2007): World Population Prospects, The 2006 Revision. New York |
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According to the 2006 Revision of the United Nations World Population Prospects, we can expect China’s population to grow only slowly – from 1.31 billion in 2005 to 1.46 billion in 2030. After 2030 China’s population is projected to decline to 1.41 billion in 2050, according to the medium variant projection. This implies a slight increase in fertility. With constant fertility, China’s population would begin to decline after 2025 – reaching 1.34 billion in 2050. |
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| According to the high fertility variant, however, China’s population would continue to grow – reaching 1.65 billion by 2050. The high fertility variant assumes that China’s fertility would be 0.5 children per woman higher in 2050 as compared to the medium fertility variant. This illustrates that even slight increases in fertility could easily add another 200 or 300 million people to China’s population. |
